Friday, 3 October 2014

Titan Biotech Ltd and SKM Egg product export ltd-Dark Horses



I picked Avanti Feeds at 32/- in Aug-11 in a hospital room in Punjab when my 6 months pregnant wife was hospitalized due to malaria. When she recovered I bought it and devoted it to our coming Baby…and Boy!!! It turned out to be one of my best pick. I received dividends of around 40/- during the period and finally sold my entire holding at 1200/- in Aug-14. A gain of 40 times of my purchase price…I sold it due to some personal reason. It is still moving ahead with its journey.

Some of my friends are of the view that my picking Avanti feeds was a great feat but nothing compared to the patience I have shown by not selling it at 300/-, 500/- , 800/-
We also picked MPS Ltd at 33/- around the same time. It has given me dividends of 50/- rupees and it is trading at around 600/- and I am still holding it.

Some of my friends have asked me whether it is possible to find these types of shares even at this juncture of market. Well market is never devoid of these types of opportunities. Titan Biotech and SKM Egg product export are the two stocks which I feel can become our next Avanti.

Titan Biotech: This company can be a dark horse…I am holding it since 2010…initially bought it at 21 then at 15 and again at 12 in 2012. It is a microbiological biotech product company producing high tech biological products which are used in the field of Pharmaceutical, Nutraceutical, Food & Beverages, Biotechnology & Fermentation, Cosmetic, Veterinary & Animal Feed, Agriculture Industries, Microbiology Culture Media & Plant Tissue Culture Media etc. The Biotechnology field requires a lot of Research and Development and takes time to develop new products. 

Continuous development of newer products and exports to 35 countries all over the world in short span of time is an exceptional achievement of the organization.
Company has established a strong base for growth and can really grow big time in the future. Its turnover has grown from 16 cr in 2010 to 40 cr in 2014…but this is just the beginning. I was also waiting and watching the progress from sideline and now I feel the time has come for making a big investment in it.

Products produced by it require high degree of technical expertise and there are high entry barriers. Lets look at some of them:

Brewer’s Yeast: it is a type of veg yeast used to prepare alcohol by ferment sugars for the the brewing of the beers. It is also used to bake breads.  However the brewer yeast can also be used as a nutritional supplement as it contains high amount of proteins and amino acid, various types of vitamins and various types of minerals.  This is one of the excellent nutritional supplement and it is also used to control blood sugar levels, improve the skin health, prevent diarrhea, improve cholesterol level, and repel insects.

Protein Hydroslate and Whey Protein Hydrolysate:  It is a delight for bodybuilders and for those who really want to have healthy bodies. Whey protein helps in building lean muscles without adding onto your waist. However in biotechnology field it acts as a supplement to cell cultures. It is used in many fields like agriculture, medicine, bio-remediation, industrial fermentation and many more. The demand for Pharmaceutical protein hydrolysate has also increased due to the increased use of the products in the same field.
The production of pepticides, monoclonal antibiotics and therapeutic proteins includes protein hydrolysate as a major component.

Agar Agar Powder – A Best Vegetable Source of Protein: Agar-Agar is a product derived from red algae and is categorized as a vegetarian form of gelatin. Several products like custards, jelly and other deserts products are formed from Agar-Agar. It is generally used in Biotechnology field for bacterial, yeast transformation and clinical purposes. Apart from biotechnology field, it is even used in paper industry, food industry, textile industry, metalworking, leather industry, cosmetic industry, natural medicines and many more fields. It plays a significant role in the field of Microbiological research by enhancing a greater capacity than any other animal gelatin for the resistance of micro-organisms.

Potassium Silicate Powder is organic approved for use in Agricultural crop, fruits and vegetables. It helps in increased tolerance of environment stress like heat, cold, drought, water and soil toxicity. It plays major role against fungal and insect or attacks.
It has a range of agricultural nutrients for the use in agricultural in the form of Aminofert series. These agricultural nutrients have rich sources of nutrients in concentrated forms.

Other products includes Meat extract powder, beef extract powder, calcium amino acid chelate, Nutrivet which deals with veterinary and pet  food, Bile salt mixture, liver extract etc. The list is long.
It is a member of Pharmexcil (pharmaceutical export council of India), Capexil (Chemical and allied Export Promotion Council in India) and All India Food Processors' Association (AIFPA).

It promotes its products through these organizations overseas by setting up stalls at trade fairs at important locations. Like in Oct- 14 it is participating in events at France and Japan.

It has just completed the installation of new plant and machinery at its new factory in Bhiwadi, near Delhi. Its earlier plant is also based at Bhiwadi. It has embarked a plan for modernization of its old plant, machinery, lab and other facilities at a cost of around 16 cr. It will go for debt route for these as debt levels at present are low. Long term debt is at 3.24 cr that too is from related parties (perhaps promoter group), however working capital loan is also at 3 cr as in 2013-14 it has negative cash flow of 6 cr from operating activities as its trade debtors increased from 2.5 cr in 2012-13 to 6 cr in 2013-14 although 5.3 cr of these are less than 6 month old and good.

However in spite of rising debt levels its interest cost has come down to 23 lac from 35 lac…perhaps it has capitalized interest paid for new plant but I have it yet to be confirmed ( I’ll confirm the same from company).  It is having cash of 2 cr against a market value of only 20 cr.

 It has also converted its authorized preference shares into equity shares and promoter entity is ready to subscribe to the preferential issue of 350000 shares at a price of 60/- per share. It shows the commitment and fairness of promoter group as current price is around 30/-
They are paying dividends regularly that too at a current yield of 2.5% although they are only earning 2 cr as net profit in 13-14. They have updated their website and included a separate section for investors which was not there earlier.  

My avg cost is around 16 and I have received dividends of around rs. 2 in these years. I feel this dividend can grow manifold if company can live upto its potential. I am fairly satisfied with the fairness of group overall…but as it is a small company so it has its inherent risks associated with it. But I am going to invest more in it as the risk is worth taking.

SKM Egg: I bought this one in 2010 at 17/- then as it went on falling upto 5 last year…I just accumulated. My avg now is 10/- This is one of the biggest Egg powder company in the world producing liquid, frozen and dried whole eggs, whites, yolks and blends. With very low demand from india so SKM is currently operate as EOU. Egg powder is used in a variety of products…from fast food to as a ingredient in many packaged foods. Demand for egg white is growing world wide due to increasing awareness regarding health. Fast food chains like Mcdonalds…who are trying to change their image as health brands.

Current prices for dried egg whites are the highest since December 1979. Prices for dried egg whites are up 50% since mid-April, up 75% since February and up 60% from a year ago. SKM went into bad period during 2010-2012 due to global economic  slowdown and incurred losses during that period.
But time changed from 2013 and company earned NP of 6 cr from a turnover of 230 cr. While the previous years saw the the company`s utilization hovering around 65-70%, 2012-13 and 2013-14 have seen near 100% capacity utilization rates. This year 1st qtr turnover is up at 60 cr from 50 cr…NP is at 3 cr as compared to 70 lac last year. Interest cost is at 1.6 cr as compared to 2.78 cr last year. This indicates improvements at all levels. This year can be the starting of its best times. Company is targeting a turnover of 500 crore in 2017.

SKM egg use almost 1.6 million eggs per day…it sources almost 75% of these from contract farmers where quality is maintained as per global standards. For balance it is operating a captive poultry farm which houses 6 lac birds. From this poultry farm,  SKM has introduced branded eggs in indian market which are fortified with essential minerals and vitamins like calcium, Omega-3 fatty acids. Birds are given healthy diet and hygiene and they are monitored regularly to maintain the highest standard. 

With economic growth and change in eating habits…demand for egg products is also going to rise in india and india will be a huge market due to its population.
I think SKM egg is the starting of a new story. It is having most modern machinery and holds great reputation among global giants like Unilever, Kraft, Nestle.

Great buy around 12-13 and hold it for 2-3 years. (This message was sent on 31.07.14 and I bought some more at 14.50 that day…current price is 31/- I think it is still worthy of investing and at every fall.)

(Views are personal and should not be taken as a recommendation for buy or sell a stock. Stock markets are inherently risky so kindly do your Due Diligence before investing)



10 comments:

  1. Thanks for the detailed review. Your are picks are really noteworthy and you are identifying these darkhorses before anyone else could do.

    Do you think Titan Biotech business has a BIG market scope ? And, do the company have enough competency and money to scale ? Who is the direct competitor to Titan Biotech in India and outside.

    Because, for the past several years the top line has not grown significantly. To me, it means either there is no BIG market for their products or they are not able to grow it.

    Kindly let us know your views.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Dear Sir,

      Reply given in the new post on titan biotech.

      Regards

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  2. Whenever I read Your Post Allways got Something New
    Cold Chain Products

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  3. Hi sir I want do know about expansion plans of skm.What do you think about company expanding its present capacity or merging existing company etc.

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    Replies
    1. Dear Sir, not tracking this for long time since our cost of acquisition is very low. But, yes they have plans for getting 500 cr turnover around 2017-18. Currently they are about 270-280 cr with around 90% capacity, so at 100% they will get 300 cr. Hence they need to go for capacity expansion or acquisition as they are now with low debt and earning good profits.

      But as there is no such company in india, so chances of acquisition are very less, so they will be going for expansion. They are selling just 1-3% in india, so it will not be a bad idea to start a facility in tax free zone catering to indian market with proper branding. Indians are not at all aware of something like egg powder and liquid egg.
      So growth opportunity is indeed big for it, also in global market because inspite of india being 3rd largest in egg production, our export of egg powder/liquid eggs is petty at 500 crores.

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  4. Dear Sir, how about buying Titan biotech and skim egg at current prices of around 140 and 55. Is your hypothesis still valid and we see good growth potential still in these 2 stocks. Thanks. Adesh

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  5. Hi Sir, I am buying Titan in small quantities since last 5-6 years but i picked good qty last year at 35 and recently just before results at 75. You should have asked this question last month :). I always buy these small stories very slow and i never care for the price if company proves that they are trustworthy and are showing good growth. The main challenge with these types of small stock is the integrity of promoters/management so we have to be very cautious in pacing our buying. Titan management has proved their fairness by being reasonable in getting debt and distributing dividends fairly regularly in spite of the fact that they are not having 70-75% stake.

    This qtr their performance is great due to Covid impact and this means that their Sep-20 performance will be superlative because testing speed has increased massively in India after June-2020. But i don't think that UC will be stopped before 200. I have sufficient qty with me so may not be buying more now. But you can ping me via email whenever it stabilizes because it may also hit some lower circuits.

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    Replies
    1. SKM egg i have sold it and now just have some small tracking qty. Not following it that much now but as i have shared in my follow up posts on SKM that my main growth catalyst is the growth in Indian market. This Qtr (jun-20) result is good which may be a sign that growth may have come from India. But i need to check and will confirm you.

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    2. Sir amazed to see you hold a stock so long. I thought you might have exited SKM egg in 2015-16. How do u decide upon an exit sir?

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