I couldn't post for a
long time since i was busy in quarterly results and filling of various tax
returns. In this period, I have bought Future Retail from Rs. 80 to 90,
redington india at 120/- and Borosil Glass from 1750 to 1600/- Current market
prices are higher but these still offer value. due to time constraint i
couldn't write full analysis but i am posting small study here in this post in
order to have some quick overview of these.
Future Retail and Redington India: Online retail is giving Offline
retail a run for their money. Many has written off offline retail but there is
more to this war than this recent burst. Online is relishing this burst due to
huge inflow of equity money with which they can afford to give huge discounts
to capture the customers and build scale. But I have serious doubt on customer
loyalty in this model…customer is buying only because of lower price offered
not because of it being offered from Flipkart or Amazon…brand loyalty is bare
minimum at this level.
Sooner or later they have to think
about profits and then there will be lesser discounts and lesser free deliveries.
And we can’t just wipe out offline retail as they will also improve upon
inefficiencies and wastages….changing their business model from one dimensional
to omnipresent just like future group, reliance and likes of Raymonds has big
plans for offering their products online. One can choose product online and can
opt for delivery at his home or can pick up by self from the store located near
his place.
Future Retail is having one of the
biggest retail presence in india…they are improving their business model. Their
Future consumer enterprise and Future Life style fashions have their own branded
products like Tasty Treat, Sach, Clean Mate, indigo Nation, clarks, Mother
earth etc which it can use for its retailing business giving higher margins.
Future Retail is having one of the
biggest supply chain company, Future Supply Chain Solution ltd with 2.7 million
square feet warehousing space. It is having a turnover of 521 crore with NP of
9.33 crore in 2013-14 (Don’t have figures for the first half of 2014-15, but
these will be much improved). It was set up to handle the supply
chain work of future group but of late sensing the huge opportunity in third
party logistics it has started handling the logistics solutions of `other
companies like Nestle, Mother Dairy, Coca cola etc.
Future retail is having 70% share of
FSCSL and I am sure that with the astronomical valuations given to high quality
logistic companies…Kishore Biyani will surely use the opportunity to sell a
stake in FSCSL either to pare the debt of the group or further expand the
business of supply chain business.
As I have mentioned earlier…Logistics
business is not about trucks…but a high tech matrix of Warehousing, IT and
transportation. Future Supply chain solutions and Redington India are having
most advanced technologies in india for the same.
Borosil Glass Works: it is having a market cap of around 500 crore
with cash holding of around 400 crore (Which it got by selling land)…hence its
business is available at around 100 crore only which is having a turnover of
around 170 crore. Borosil Glass is one which we can use over heat…for us it is
a generic name for high quality glass. The company is having one scientific
& Industrial products division which deals in scientific laboratories and other
is consumer product division which deals in consumer products like Dinner sets,
Trays and Bowls etc. This business is growing very fast over the years. La
Opala RG has grown over 10 times in last 3-4 years…Borosil can replicate the
same story here as it is having more than enough cash to fund any growth and
diversification plans or with over 74% shares management can go for delisting
also.
It is available in single digit valuations
in spite of its being a reputed brand, efficient Management, high growth
consumer business.
(Views are personal and should not be taken as a recommendation for buy or sell a stock. Stock markets are inherently risky so kindly do your Due Diligence before investing)
want to buy borosil for 3 to 4 year time horizon
ReplyDeletecan i buy around 1600
Sir, you can buy it. It is a good buy.
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