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Friday, 24 March 2017

Music Broadcast Ltd: Creating Space

(I wanted to give a small introduction to Nikola Tesla due to his association with the invention of Radio but then it went out of my control and covered the distance too far. So it is better to make this one a two part series. First is about to understand the Space created by the supreme Creator and the second is about the Space that Music Broadcast Ltd needs to create for Radio in India.)

First Part: Of Space 

Information is precious….sometimes most important thing in our life. Our great Vedas were memorized by our great Rishis for thousands of years. Vedas were never written because they were not to be written. One of their biggest secret was not the syntax but the sound…pronunciation as their rhythm/vibration was meant to interact with the vibration of our DNA to activate certain energy centres essential for spiritual awakening. Vedas were memorized in order to comprehend them deeper, they should become your soul…your part; writing on clothes/leaves was not the best option to preserve the mighty Vedas so the best way was to memorize them for generations. Very strict discipline was required to memorize the Vedas.

But the Great Rishi Vedvyasa, near the end of Dwapara Yuga, realized that human beings in Kaliyuga with short life, poor brain power would be lacking the physical, moral and spiritual strength to memorize and follow the path of Vedas so in order to preserve the most vital he compiled them into four Vedas after some 4000 years of oral transmission. Vedvyasa was the 18th incarnation of Lord Vishnu after Lord Rama and was born to Rishi Prashar. Not many know that he was the step brother of great Bheesma.

I am writing on Radio but why I am remembering Vedas here is also due to Radio. Radio was meant for information but surprisingly we are misinformed when we are taught that Radio was invented by some Marconi but it was not. Radio, in fact, was invented by one of the greatest genius ever born into Kaliyuga…Nikola Tesla. Six months after the death of Nikola Tesla in 1943, US Supreme Court ruled that all the patents for Radio actually belonged to Tesla. And when I recall Tesla…I recall his meetings with Swami Vivekananda, Quantum Physics and Vedas. Tesla was a genius much ahead of his time and was badly in need of some assurance for his crazy views about the origin and nature of matter which ultimately was provided by Swami Vivekananda. Tesla never studied Sanskrit but after his meeting with Swami Vivekananda he used Sanskrit words like Akasha and Prana everywhere. 

Tesla was a scientist in the field of electricity and he was way ahead of others at that time. He invented many of the most important inventions of our life like AC electricity, created the world’s first x-ray images, and conceived the idea of radar. But he was like a true eastern saint with no regard for material wealth. He just yearned for wisdom and knowledge. He never resorted to profiteering from his inventions unlike Edison (Tesla in his early life worked for Edison but soon they parted ways and Tesla proved his superiority many times) so he was a big obstacle for the corporate investors like JP Morgan. So he was dethroned of all of his inventions and Tesla was lost.

He was a hard-core scientist dealing with electricity which is a subatomic particle and most of the laws of classical physics do not apply on it. So he was not in conformity with others regarding the nature of matter including Einstein. Actually Tesla was the first Quantum physicist.

Quantum physics deals with the nature and behaviour of Sub-atomic particles and energy as at subatomic scale classical physics becomes useless. Classical physics describes the forces responsible for creating our everyday life like nothing can beat the speed of light and all matter is made of countless tiny particles. But when scientists looked deeper into the cosmos classical physics turned into last bencher. They found that the most basic particle Atom is not composed of something solid but of vibrating energy and breaking of speed of the light barrier was a routine in sub-atomic world. Scientists in early nineteenth century found that Subatomic particles such as electrons were able to instantaneously communicate with each other regardless of the distance separating them. It doesn't matter whether they are 10 feet or 10 billion miles apart. Somehow each particle always seems to know what the other is doing. The problem with this feat is that it violates Einstein that no communication can travel faster than the speed of light since travelling faster than the speed of light is tantamount to breaking the time barrier. In the 1920’s Nobel Prize winner Werner Heisenberg formulated his famous uncertainty principal which stated that Sub-atomic particle would change its position when it was observed. The reason; we use photon to observe (light) some phenomenon but as Photon itself is a sub-atomic particle so it will interact with the other sub-atomic particle being observed and will change its position.

But this made Einstein quite unhappy, although he agreed it worked perfectly, because it denied the reality of things when they were not being observed. So this led to famous Einstein quote “I like to think the moon is there even if I am not looking at it."

So there was utter confusion. But then Swami Vivekananda happened to the west and he introduced them to Vedas and Gita and Information was travelled to West. West was astonished to find out that wisdom of Vedas was quantum in nature. There was quantum physics everywhere in Vedas. So it is of no surprise that almost all of Nobel Prize winner Quantum scientists like Bohr, Heisenberg and Schrodinger regularly read Vedic texts. Another giant of quantum physics Robert Oppenheimer even learned Sanskrit and read the Gita in original. Heisenberg even stated, “Quantum theory will not look ridiculous to people who have read Vedanta.”

Qunatum physics in Vedas

Indian Rishis understood and experienced the quantum nature of the universe; although by following the other path…not by Analysis (Breaking into Parts) but by Synthesis (Wholeness). Indian Vedas are filled with Quantum proclamations. They are everywhere.

Like Aham Brahmasmi (अहं ब्रह्मास्मि) in Brihadaranyaka Upanishad of the Yajur Veda. This depicts the oneness and interconnection of all beings and the supreme creator. Separateness is an illusion. Our Great Rishi is not getting arrogant here but this is what he felt in deep meditations (Meditation is nothing but a state when consciousness resonates with the cosmos by raising the cell vibrations levels… Universe is nothing but a vibration). Now Quantum physics also knows this as electrons at billions of miles apart seem connected…In fact there is a growing belief that our Universe is a hologram where every part is containing the whole albeit the smaller whole. Science has so far put great effort in trying to understand the phenomenon by breaking into parts and thinking that by studying (Analyzing) parts they will comprehend the whole.

But a hologram (try Google for better understanding) is a different thing altogether as here every part contains the Whole albeit the smaller wholes. Similarly our Universe is a hologram….a consciousness…we are nothing but smaller wholes. That’s why our Rishis did Synthesis of the cosmos not Analysis. They knew that breaking wouldn't change anything.

Another Rishi announced “I am in the east and the west, I am above and below, I am this entire world.” These are from Mundaka Upanishad.

There are so many; Pragnanam Brahman – "Consciousness is Brahman" (Aitareya Upanishad Rig Veda). Ayam Atma Brahman – "This Self (Atman) is Brahman" (Mandukya Upanishad Atharva Veda).Tat Tvam Asi – "That Thou art " (Chandogya Upanishad Sama Veda).

Like Concept of time in Vedas which says that time scale is relative to the level of consciousness; different for different lokas. As per Vadas, 8.64 billion years mark a full day-and-night cycle in Brahma’s life. Just as Einstein said in his theory of Relativity that the measurement of time depends on observer’s motion and also the strength of gravitational field he is in. In Gita, Arjun looked at the past, present and future in the mouth of Lord Krishna in Vishwaroop Darshan (Ch.11 of Bhagvatgeeta).Just like the collapse of the space time coordinate system near singularities of general theory of relativity.

Quantum physics realized that no matter is solid…it is just empty space and energy. Just as vedic Rishi warns us to not to be distracted by MAYA as visible world is an illusion.

So finally some early Quantum physics scientists found a great companion in the form of Vedas. They were motivated to continue their journey further towards the unknown.

One important thing, four Vedas are called Shruti which means “that which is heard”. Vedic Rishis were not the creators of the Vedas. In fact they heard the “Vedic Gyan” in their deep meditations. They were the seers not the authors. Gita also belongs to this section…in fact it happened at earth without any medium…it is directly from the Brahaman, the Lord.

Akasha or Zero Point Energy field

Here I want to introduce something about Zero Point field or Akasha or Ether which I feel is the greatest gift to mankind by the Vedas. Nikola Tesla was the only one who understood this and dreamt of a world with limitless source of energy all free to all. His conviction got strength when Swami Vivekananda introduced him the concept of Akasha. Vedas described Akasha as the most subtle basic element from which other four elements were created. Other four element of creation are Air, Fire, water and earth. These are called Panch Bhootas in Vedas. So Akasha (Space) was never described as vacuum (absence) in Vedas…in fact they described Akasha as the basic element of which all other elements were born and hence Akasha is present in every particle of the Universe.

Thousands of years later, Vedas proved right.

All atoms are made up of protons, electrons and neutrons and we have some 100 types of atoms. So all the atoms are made of same things but they are different because of numbers of Protons, electrons. Hydrogen, Oxygen, Helium…they are all have same Protons, electrons and neutrons but these are different due to different numbers of these three. The reason Nitrogen and Oxygen are such different gases isn't that Nitrogen has 7 protons and 7 electrons and that Oxygen has 8 of each. But, it is the different amount of electromagnetic energy that that one extra proton and one extra electron in Oxygen make which changes the substance.

But still protons, electrons and neutrons are way too small at the scale of an atom…almost invisible. If an Atom is an earth then nucleus is just a football stadium. So our Atom is nothing but space. So space is the realty; space is the Atom. In other words Space is the substance of which all atoms are made. If we remove all the space from human body then the billions of these charged particles will form a heap which not even a microscope can see.

So we can say the structure of the atom is energy in a confined space between revolving charged particles. The space in this case is filled with electromagnetic energy. Atoms and Sub-atomic particles are bound together by Akasha or space that’s why atoms create substances as space acts as the binding force. Akasha is not emptiness, but it is an element which is spread over space capable of containing other elements. I even have a feeling that charged particles like protons and electrons just act as forces for creating different types of Atoms. The prime source of energy is not these charged particles but the Space.

Vedas even defined the property of Akasha which is Sound. Vedas say “Shabdaikagunamakasham” which means that Shabd (Sound) is the guna (Property) of Akasha. This is indeed very subtle. Quite contrary to the earlier popular belief Air is not the cause of Sound. Air is not the originator of Sound but Air is the carrier of sound. In a Vaccum (Famous bell-jar experiment) bell is ringed and it vibrates (Sound) but as there is no Air so listener doesn’t hear anything as there is nothing to carry the sound. But sound does originate. So Air is the carrier but not the substance of the sound. This sound property of the space is the reason that so much emphasis has been given by the Vedic Rishis on the mantras and sound pattern to awaken the Chakras in the human body.

So Tesla understood the power of Akasha and had grand plans to generate unlimited energy from space. He even built one tower for the purpose. This tower was proposed to be a model for more of these towers located around the world to provide free wireless energy to everyone. Upon J.P. Morgan finding out it was not equipped with any type of meter to monitor who was using how much of the energy it provided and was thus not for profit he ripped Tesla’s funding out from under him and the tower was torn down.

And so the Information on Akasha energy stopped there with Tesla.


Second Part: Commercial Space

Radio: Needs to focus on Information differentiation

So finally I am coming to Radio and Music Broadcast. Radio survived the onslaught of Television, Cinema and internet against all odds. Still almost 90% people in USA and UK listen to Radio, 80% listens daily. So more Americans use Radio than Facebook. Before the advent of Facebooks of the world,  Radio was the original social media platform. For majority of population in USA/UK radio is still the prime source for discovering the new music. Average listening time is 2 hours per week. So Radio is very much alive and growing fast. Radio still accounts for around 8% of total advertisement pie in western world.

But in India we have just surpassed the teething stage which was of playing filmy music all day long and creating awareness about the radio. That’s why I feel that there is no need to look at the financials of Radio players like Music Broadcast as if they can act wisely than huge growth will come. This is Quantum theory of stock market wherein we should focus on the comprehensive rather than particles :). But as now we have passed the initial stage and numbers of participants are also rising so Radio industry is now finding itself at a stage where every product in its lifetime finds itself; which is product differentiation, quality and creating a space for itself. So I feel Radio industry in India needs to move towards more product innovation; they need to be relevant for people by getting more informative. Information is not about the news or something else; it is being aware and creative in creating the content which will bring more people to the Radio. Just for a case, Green revolution in India owes its success to Radio when as part of one UNESCO project farmers took part in Radio forums. In Tamilnadu in Thanjavur paddy belt, farmers listened and learnt about a new paddy variety over Radio. It was a grand success and they even named the variety as “Transister paddy”. UNESCO applied the Radio forums all over the world seeing the success in India however AIR failed miserably after that and by 1970 all Radio Forums were defunct.

Also as per recently completed Phase 3 auction, multiple frequencies in a single city are allowed. Now Radio players can run more than one Radio station a single city so now they can focus on creating niche radio channels dedicated to something like business, regional music, education etc. Also radio players are now allowed to create network of radio stations by combining small cities and then use the same content in the network. This will work for their advantage as they can get more business with lower costs.

Here are some points due to which I feel that Radio will remain relevant and can achieve high growth in the future:

1)     Local and national advertising: India is the least advertised country. Our advertisement investments to GDP are very low. The reason is the low level of competition and logistics problems in having a nation wide footprint. But now time has changed fast in last 10-15 years. Competition is severe and brand awareness is the most important strategic decision. So we will see high growth in advertising. Local producers can’t afford television or digital advertising so Radio is the best fit for them. For national level producers Radio is another mean to reach people especially small cities/villages where mainstream TV penetration is low. So business is going to be strong for radio players. All they need is to focus on the content.
2)    Print ads are also expensive especially main page ads. But with Radio they are always on the front  page.
3)     For more effective impact of ads, we need to listen/see the ads alteast 3-4 times. For small local and  other small producers Radio is the cheapest way to do the same.
4)      People are required to be in front of television if producers want them seeing their ads. But with radio  they can reach the customer anywhere; in car, offices, colleges.
5)     Radio can reach everywhere. So while I can’t watch TV/News while driving, in the office, college but radio can reach there.
6)     Listeners feel attached to their local radio station. They feel them like their own. So loyalty is very strong here.
7)   In big metro cities like Mumbai, Bangalore driving time is the main time to listen to the Radio. Driving time is around 1 hour in big cities. Radio is the best entertainment source here.
8)    In today’s era of shrinking time, radio is the one thing that allows us to do the multi-tasking. I can work in my office while listening music, news etc.
9)   In India royalty is paid on the licensing rights for music but shared revenues are the norm in the international market.
10)  Local music is the big area of growth. Even now south market is big due to expanding regional film industry as compared to rest of India.

So Radio is not aggressive like TV but it has soft appeal. But there is one big issue which can have big positive impact on the fortunes of the radio industry and that is broadcasting of NEWS. Radio channels are currently allowed to air current affairs like sports, cultural events and weather information. But govt has not allowed them to air news citing security reasons as Govt says that they can’t keep a watch on the content being aired on radio which they are doing for television. A PIL has been filed and supreme court has asked the Govt to submit the valid reasons for not allowing private players to air the news. Govt is taking hefty annual license fees apart from initial bids but still not allowing to air the news. Also another shocking fact is that big media houses are the owners of radio channels who are already have the permission to publish or broadcast the news in Newspaper or at television. By doing so Govt is ignoring all the positive impacts that radio can bring in community development and creating awareness about local issues. Also all type of negative propaganda is already running unchecked on internet which is watched by crores of people in India. So censoring the content over radio is a big mistake as Govt is not aware of the real threats from internet terror. It is still targeting the poor people of the villages who can’t afford a TV but they can benefit and raise their participation in the growth of the country.

Govt has allowed radio channels to air the news from AIR unchanged by paying a fee which is not liked and used by any radio station.

But if this issue is solved then we’ll see much higher growth.

At present Radio advertising is at 4% of total advertising in India. Analysts are comparing it with 8% of the developed world. But things are never linearly comparable especially over civilizations. Due to limited reach of the other expensive media like TV and internet in the rural and small cities in India, Radio may acquire the bigger pie. Music broadcast is at Rs. 355 now…little higher than the issue price of 333. It is a good investment opportunity keeping in view the possible scale of operations in the future but still deserves the allocation from the risky part of your portfolio.

(Views are personal and should not be taken as a recommendation for buying or selling a stock. Stock markets are inherently risky so kindly do your Due Diligence before investing. I am not a certified Sebi Analyst and holding the shares discussed in this Post)


4 comments:

  1. Sharing the discussions on Zee Learn at Email group:

    On Mar 25, 2017 11:39 PM, "Gurpreet Singh" wrote:

    Dear All,

    I am accumulating Zee learn for past few years...all the way from 12 bucks. But made entry at 33-34 last year then at 46 may be a month ago. Still avg is just 22. I like this one and i am sure it has now reached the stage where we'll see sudden growth in profits and top line which i have been waiting for quite some time. I ain't done yet and planning to make one last big entry.

    Regards
    Gurpreet singh.


    On Friday, 20 February 2015 10:59 AM, Gurpreet Singh Wrote:

    Dear Sir,

    Bought more of zee learn at 34.90 today...investing big in this. also
    buying Venky around 370 in large quantities, Gujarat borosil recomended
    around 23 two days back is at 28 today, it is still a buy and at every
    fall

    Regards

    On Thursday, 18 September 2014 11:20 AM, Gurpreet singh wrote:

    My advice is to stay away from Tree House...its number looks cooked and i think it is not into cooking school business. NP of 40 cr on turnover of 150 cr is unreal...it is a polish....much stronger brand player like Kidzee is having a loss of around 2 cr on 120 cr although Zee learn is into both preschool and K12 segments while Tree is into preschool....still i feel everything is not Ok here. This Tree is not shady....something is surely wrong here. The excess turnover and profits it is showing must have been going somewhere in the balance sheet. My doubt is in Assets figures. Like it is in preschool which needs much lower capital than K12...but it has assets of 280 cr for a turnover of 150 cr!!! while much capital intensive Zee learn has assets of just 45 cr for 120 cr...very much realistic. Tree claims that they are operating 390 schools on their own and just 100 are on franchise based...and so they have 82 cr in furniture...i don't believe this figure...but even if it is real than it is a very poor business model.
    It is way overvalued at 450-460...better to stay away.

    Zee learn is better...i think very few will survive in Indian school business....it is very difficult business right now...Parents will take time in assessing these private institutions although they spend huge money on tutions. Zee learn will survive and i am sure ina year or two...it'll suddenly grow big...its return ratios will show huge improvement.
    Regards

    On Thursday, 18 September 2014 10:00 AM, Sanjay wrote:
    Sir, want to buy Tree House...a big fan of this one...whole market is running after it. I want to invest big in it...some of my friends have already invested at 400...it is already at 460.
    sanjay


    ReplyDelete
  2. ---------- Forwarded message ----------
    From: Gurpreet Singh
    Date: 26 March 2017 at 12:28
    Subject: Fwd: Zee Learn
    To:

    Hi Dear, valid doubt...something was not right with Tree house....that was a fact...but also something WAS also there...Tree was not a phantasm....it did exist...although at much lower scale...it had owned school...Franchisees...which was having some value...Tree was visible in the market.
    Just like Satyam was having something...and Tech Mahindra saw some value and bought it. Zee learn was thinking on the same lines...Inorganic growth was a big opportunity for them to increase their scale fast and be at the top. But Tree was valued way lower...deal was somewhere around 80-90 bucks against the high of 500. But then again, after some time the deal price was further lowered to some 30...which was a bare minimum...i think even good for a brand like Tree....but then Zee might have realized something nasty lurking behind and ultimately it found no value in Tree.
    Although i have always felt that loss of Tree was always going to be the gain of Zee learn as children from closed Tree schools should have come to Kidzee anyways. But i think that that phase is over now...i was also not liking the merger that's why i restrained from more buying at 30 in Zee learn...but then bought at 46. I think clouds are now getting cleared...i am doing last round of study...also their ZICA and ZIMA look interesting...need more study. But anybody wants to invest in education sector...then Navneet is the best and Zee learn is also coming closer to be the top choice.
    Regards
    Gurpreet Singh.

    ---------- Forwarded message ----------
    From: D
    Date: 26 March 2017 at 00:46
    Subject: Re: Zee Learn
    To: Gurpreet Singh

    One question Gurpreet Sir,
    Don't u think merger of tree house with zee learn and again calling off the deal shows red flag on zee learn promoters .

    D

    ReplyDelete
  3. amazing post

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    ReplyDelete